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00:00Detroit at home, hosting the Royals, Kansas City doing what you would expect, sweeping
00:08the White Sox yesterday with a 10-3 win.
00:12Another divisional duel for both KC and Detroit, with the Royals a hefty road favorite in the
00:18Motor City.
00:19What's the play today in Detroit?
00:22The play is simple here.
00:23The Royals should win this game.
00:24We'll go to the pitching matchups in just a second, head to head, but if you take a
00:27look at Montero, 54 batters that he's faced over the past 30 days as right-handed batters,
00:32.340 Iso, .423 weighted on base percentage.
00:35He's faced a total of 71 right-handed batters on the season, hasn't pitched all that much.
00:38That's a .369 Iso on a weighted on base percentage of .443.
00:43How does that match up against that Royals lineup, particularly the number two guy, Bobby
00:46Witt?
00:47.342 Iso, .565 weighted on base percentage, and a K rate of around 10% over the next 80
00:54at-bats against right-handed pitching.
00:56He should be able to do damage today, but also you take a look at the pitching matchups
00:59here.
01:00Kansas City, clearly the better pitcher on the mound.
01:02That's Seth Lugo.
01:03Last 60 days of Major League Baseball, having an 84 XFIP minus, an ERA of 3.80, and a very
01:08manageable XFIP number of 3.48.
01:11I know it's expensive.
01:12It's on the road, but we just take a look at matchups overall.
01:15It makes sense to go with Kansas City, and I'm not even downplaying that Detroit lineup,
01:18which has been getting better over the past couple of weeks, but a better pitcher and
01:22a couple of guys that can crush right-handed pitching, that stacks up for a Kansas City
01:25Royals dub today for me.