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00:00A Boston beat down last night in game number one of the 2024 NBA Finals as the Celtics win by nearly
00:0720 on the opening night of the NBA
00:10Championship Series at home inside TD Garden after a full week off from NBA playoff action
00:17We expected this game to probably be closer in game number one of the NBA Finals than the result
00:23We saw Boston blitzed them from the very start
00:2637 to 20 the Celtics lead after the opening quarter and really it continued to be that way despite
00:33Dallas kind of mustering a comeback in the second half
00:38107.89 the C's easily cover as a six and a half point home favorite a total that skied all the way up to
00:45217 and a hook does stay under just a second cover DRS for the Boston Celtics in their last seven games
00:52Now all 15 postseason contests the Celtics have been booked as the favorite
00:58Yeah, we waited so long for game number one
01:00But also as I preached because the heavy public side was on the Mavericks getting the six and a half points and sometimes we know
01:07How that works out similar to the Super Bowl because typically it's like okay
01:10You got two or three days to get ready for a betting
01:12Let's just see where the public's going
01:13But you have the public settling in for over a week and deciding that the Dallas Mavericks should be that play
01:19But the sports books like the fan blue sports book say no no
01:21We're not lowering that number despite getting 75 to 80 percent of the tickets coming in on the Mavericks
01:26We're gonna keep it around that six range and actually increase it to six and a half the total which I actually thought I agreed
01:31With going over but the Boston Celtics were very good on offense Dallas just didn't show up
01:36Now the tough part about this is we are gonna overanalyze based on game
01:39Number one as if the Mavericks haven't lost her any playoff games. They're gonna get swept in four games
01:43That's not going to happen
01:44But some of the key indicators that we looked at them where you said to yourself
01:48Boston was so good during the regular season home and away
01:51Boston was unbelievable at home Chris steps for Zingas is coming back into the lineup of the facto all-star
01:56That you're going to get back already on a solid club. That was hammering Eastern Conference talent in the playoffs
02:02I just didn't see it coming away because to be honest
02:04I miss tip-off for this game around 915 920 like oh, let me turn on the game
02:09It's like wait a second
02:10Boston's already running away with it you go ahead and check out some major league baseball sports get back to the game in the
02:14Second-quarter, it's even worse
02:16It's like wow this game is over and all of a sudden that narrative starts to shift like is this a big as mismatch as?
02:21We thought it was going to be because technically I didn't understand what we were going to get in game number one
02:25But the Boston Celtics being good at good at home check the Boston Celtics playing very good defense check
02:31Porzingis coming back off of the bench and look like he never left the lineup. Oh boy
02:35It's gonna be tough to beat the Celtics based on that one game narrative
02:38I loved what I saw out of the Celtics hated what I saw in the Mavericks
02:42So let's talk about trends because part of the handicapped ERS in the final month of the regular season when it was very clear
02:50The Celtics would have a favorable path in the Eastern Conference
02:53And it was pretty darn clear that
02:55Boston would end the year with the best regular season record giving them home for advantage throughout the entirety of the postseason
03:02Eastern Conference and beyond into a potential NBA championship series
03:06We talked about how dominant the Celtics were inside TD Garden all
03:11year long last night game number one of the
03:142024 NBA Finals was game number 50 for the C's in Beantown this season
03:21They are 44 and 6 straight up in Boston now
03:262721 and 2 against the spread 8 and 7 ATS as the favored side in all 15 games here throughout their
03:33Playoff run but last night was just the second time and now they're nine home playoff games
03:39They were booked as a single-digit favorite inside
03:42TD Garden and they entered only covering once in their last six and you talked about the public betting on the
03:49Dallas Mavericks and frankly DRS it makes sense from an underdog perspective the Mavs entered the NBA Finals
03:56Six in one straight up as an underdog throughout this playoff run that sees them in the NBA Finals
04:02But it really did not matter last night both teams over in five of their previous six games
04:08Entering this series. We stayed well under a total on the rise of 217 and a hook yesterday and Donnie
04:15There was so much conversation about how easy it was for the C's a Boston breeze
04:20Throughout the Eastern Conference playoffs every series the store on the other side
04:25Injured unable to complete that set one thing
04:29Maybe we did not really discuss enough was what Chris stops porzingis would do in his return
04:3514 and a half the points prop yesterday for KP a number he was over by the halftime break
04:41He finishes with 20 points in
04:4321 minutes off the bench and does cash my best bet of the day as well over one and a half blocks
04:48finishing with three
04:50Yeah, he had a sensational chase down block too
04:52Which lets you know that he's really healthy and he also saw a couple dunks out of porzingis
04:56Which also means that he's not being hesitant on that calf
04:59So we're talking about porzingis coming off the bench playing 21 minutes in his first game back and scoring 20 points and being a plus
05:0513 good luck Dallas Mavericks
05:07This is one of those where we didn't know what to anticipate and sometimes you look and say, okay
05:11They've been rolling talk about the Boston Celtics
05:13They don't really need porzingis
05:14But coming off of the bench is kind of interesting because usually he has a star player in the NBA the minute you come back
05:19Into the lineup and you don't have a minutes restriction, which we were told before the game you expected him to start
05:24So once they were like, all right, no minutes restriction, but he's not gonna start like hey, is he really all the way back healthy?
05:29They're just trying to get a look-see
05:30But he was on fire right out of the gate
05:33Which is crazy because also you look at this easy victory for the Celtics been Jason Tatum 16 points Brown 22 points
05:39Rewind this and tell me before the game started that that's what your starters were going to provide and also say on the opposite side
05:46You're gonna get a 30-point form. It's out of Luka Donchik
05:48I might think the Dallas Mavericks win this game, but certainly been covered the six and a half
05:52That's how poorly Dallas played and it wasn't as if you take a look at the Boston Celtics where it's like hey
05:57They shot 58% as a team from the field. They did they were under 50% Hey, they crushed it from three
06:02They shot over 50% though. They didn't 38% Okay, they went to the free throw line a ton
06:06Well, they only went 19 times and made 68% here
06:09It wasn't as even if Boston played a perfect game and still with an easy victory
06:13That's the tough pill to swallow as we're looking towards game number two with the Mavericks
06:17What are we going to get out of them because they're in the bullseye right now?
06:20But it was the high volume from three from the Celtics 42
06:25Attempted everybody in the starting lineup and then you could include Kristoff's porzingis as their sixth man made multiple three-pointers last night
06:33Derek white hit three he had 15 points Jason Tatum hit three
06:37But he only finished with 16 a game in which Boston won by nearly 20 points Jason Tatum
06:43Had 16 and 11 well under his points prop of 27 and a hook
06:49Jalen Brown was Boston's leading scorer second most in the game
06:5322 points he was under his points prop of 23 and a half
06:57Which is where the number stood entering game number one, but relatively efficient at least for Jalen Brown
07:04We'll look at where things stand for the Dallas Mavericks because despite a 30-point performance from Luka Donchik
07:11They did not even get close to covering a six and a half point
07:15Number and what it means for the rest of the NBA fun
07:18Next if you have a sports storyline if you have a narrative that you want to throw out there on the table
07:24Make sure you run it by Donnie right side first because DRS put a little bit of tampering down
07:30On the idea that Kyrie Irving's return to Boston would be the biggest deal in the 2024 NBA Finals
07:37even Kyrie after a struggle of a night on the opening game of the
07:422024 NBA Finals only 12 points for Irving in his return to Beantown
07:46Oh of five from deep to six of 19 from the four said after the game DRS
07:51It wasn't nearly as hostile as I expected it to be and you thought if there was ever a time for Boston to be ruthless
07:58At Kyrie Irving, it would be a night in the NBA Finals where he scored only 12 points and didn't hit a single three
08:06Yeah, exactly. You can have any rivalry you want
08:08But if the game is basically over in the first quarter the fans understand that it just turns into a party atmosphere
08:13Yeah, you're gonna boo Kyrie Irving some but also he did a great job of diffusing that situation
08:18It feels like and again, this wasn't as Boston's angry at Kyrie Irving. They just played two nights ago now
08:23We got to really get angry
08:24He had seven days to say every day boy
08:26I love Boston really wish I would have did it differently and if I could have brought a championship to him
08:30He was saying all the right things also coupled by an easy win by Boston. Let's flip the script there
08:353720 Dallas at the end of the first quarter Kyrie five of five from three
08:39Oh, it would have been on and poppin at the TD Garden last night
08:43But the fact that it was just a de facto party atmosphere three minutes into the game really added to how angry are you going to?
08:49Get at a rival or rival player when you're just dusting. I'm the entire time
08:54And Luka Donchik 30 points last night the game's leading scorer the only player to get to that 30 point
09:00Benchmark for threes the volume there once again
09:03He has attempted at least 11 threes in the last six games since the start of the Western Conference
09:09Finals against the Timberwolves always something to keep in mind three and a half was his three points prop heavily juiced on the over
09:15around minus
09:17172 Dallas's second leading scorer last night was actually PJ Washington who had 14 points
09:23But didn't hit a single three which has been his calling card throughout this NBA postseason
09:28let's call a spade a spade the Mavericks are not going to win an NBA championship or maybe even a single NBA Finals game if
09:35PJ Washington is the second leading scorer with 14 points
09:40So that leads us the RS to what we will see here the rest of this NBA
09:44Championship series Boston entered as a minus 225 favorite to win this series outright in the hoist
09:51Championship banner number 18 in Beantown after a dominant game one performance covering as a six-and-a-half point
09:59Favorite 107 89 the Celtics now minus 420 to win the NBA championship
10:05Yeah
10:05I love to be a little bit of a contrarian which is why I like the Boston Celtics at minus six and a half last
10:10Night just because the way the public was loading up and I'm saying boy
10:12We really giving a gift here to the Celtics because how good they are and poor Zingas is coming back
10:17But it's hard to absolutely love it because technically I didn't know what was going to happen
10:20Now you're taking a look at what happened in game number one. I'll tell you right now
10:24I'm probably gonna buy some stock in Luka Donchik because even if they play bad, it's like, all right
10:28Well, I always forget my own shot
10:29I shot 26 times and scored 30 points if that game was within single digits in the fourth quarter
10:34He scores 40 points in that game and who knows how many rebounds and assist he would accumulate at that point
10:39But things have to change here for Dallas and also when I talk about that contrarian angle a lot of times
10:43Okay, you know what?
10:44Everybody's gonna be down on Dallas and rightfully they should be. Oh, that's a big price point now
10:49You can take on the Dallas Mavericks based on what I saw last night and healthy Boston Celtics team
10:54who again I preface this by saying they didn't play all that great last night the Boston Celtics and
10:59Easily won that game that gives me a lot of pause even at some of those bigger price points on the Dallas Mavericks
11:05Even though we've only played one game
11:07And I think that because of the fashion in which Boston dismantled Dallas in game
11:12Number one people are thinking Boston is going to blow out the Mavericks throughout the entirety of this NBA finals
11:19Oh, maybe it wasn't so easy for the Celtics in the Eastern Conference playoffs
11:24Maybe it's just that Boston has been that supreme team in the Association all year long
11:29And I think there is truth to that statement, but I don't think the Celtics are pulling off another gentleman sweep
11:34I don't think the Celtics are going to outright sweep the Mavs as well
11:39So as we look at the odds for this series to end in four games, it's still unlikely at plus
11:46440 but you see that plus 210 number
11:49I'll take it even a step further the Celtics at plus 240 to win this series in
11:53Only five Dallas gets one at a certain point Donnie. You see the updated series spread
11:59It's the C's laying a gate or two and a half games now at plus 122
12:04That's a bad bet that would means that Boston has to win this series in
12:09five games if you think that is possible the Celtics at plus
12:15240 to win this series in five is better that does take into account that Boston could also win in an outright sweep
12:21But I don't think we believe that is going to happen more around the NBA
12:25Finals coming your way as we come back from a commercial break live right here on the early line
12:31So Boston blows out Dallas in the opening game of the
12:352024 NBA Finals the RS entering this NBA championship series
12:39The Celtics were a hefty favorite at minus 225 to win the NBA title
12:44the Boston Celtics have been an odds-on favorite to win the NBA
12:48Championship since midway through the opening round now about a month and a half ago of this NBA postseason
12:54So we shouldn't be overly shocked the Celtics were even dominant in the opening game of the NBA championship
12:59Series against the Dallas Mavericks, but as things happen the numbers move drastically based on one result
13:07Especially when that result in outcome is an 18-point victory for the C's at home that looked rather comfortable and easy
13:14Last night but entering game one the shortest correct score market
13:20which is Boston to win the NBA championship and in how many games had the Celtics to win in five and
13:26Seven at the same price at plus
13:30340 I think there are some Donnie that wake up on this Friday morning and say all right
13:35Maybe Boston just is that good I could see a sweep probably a gentleman sweep
13:40I don't think we're getting past five games
13:43How did the game one result change your mind if at all for how the rest of the NBA Finals plays out?
13:49Yeah, what have you seen for me lately? We're all human beings here. Even if you said you have this series going six or seven games
13:54It's only one to nothing at this point
13:56They the Celtics didn't get three victories last night one game because of how dominant they were
14:01It's still 10 and also let's remind ourselves. You remember those dominant performances in game number one, Boston had at home
14:07How did they perform in game number two and a few of those series that'll give you pause and also we talked about we weren't
14:12Really sure what we were going to get out of the Celtics here and how they would use Porzingis and maybe attack now
14:17You see their defensive structure set up. They'll be able to break down film
14:20They have some days off to get that done and you wouldn't be surprised if the Dallas Mavericks won in game number two now granted that
14:26Line six six and a half depending where you're shopping at we now look at Sunday's game
14:31That's up to a seven point number relatively the same total at two fourteen and a half
14:35So I would caution to say boy what I saw in game number one is exactly what I'm going to see in game number two
14:41We know that doesn't happen in professional sports Dallas is a very good basketball team
14:45Those guys will eventually show up and maybe they do it in game number two
14:49So I'm just talking to the people that got those tickets there where we need game sixes in game sevens
14:54Don't give up hope just yet based on what you saw last night
14:56It was that easy nobody be allowed to bet because everybody would just steamroll the Celtics in four games and we'd all be millionaires
15:04I've said it so many times on the show. I bet Boston when the NBA championship on March 20th at a plus 220 number
15:11I've been holding on to that ticket hoping for outcomes like this
15:14Hoping that Boston could breeze through the Eastern Conference to get to the NBA Finals and win
15:20championship number 18
15:22And so when I say that now I'm going to bet the Dallas Mavericks money line for game number two on Sunday
15:28I feel pretty confident in saying so the Celtics have played
15:3215 NBA playoff games in this postseason run they have lost to both have come in game number two at home
15:40Inside TD Garden Boston made it look so easy in game number one
15:45I guarantee you
15:47adjustments are made for the Mavs in this second game that it will be at least a
15:51Ton closer that Dallas is going to cover as a seven and a half point underdog if not win outright
15:58And I really do think there are a couple of best bets based on the series odds
16:03right now you could have plus money in a big way on the Mavericks if you think Dallas does make this a
16:08Series, you could look at the total games market
16:11You could correctly predict winner of the NBA championship and in how many games but Donnie
16:16What was one of the numbers that we talked about a ton the over-under for the total games in this NBA final series?
16:23Five and a half and the over was heavily juiced after Boston wins game one over under five and a half
16:29The over is now minus one
16:3132 I still think we see at least six and I don't think you're paying all that much of a premium anymore
16:38No, and I believe because I remember taking a look at it when we first opened up
16:42It's like that one night at minus 165 or so price to go over five and a half games within like one day that jumped
16:47Up to like minus 180 minus 190 because everybody's gonna play a second
16:50This could be an absolute steal and appropriately FanDuel did change those numbers
16:54But now you take a look at that beat down last night as if it was three games in one that the Celtics won
17:00And now you're thinking that it might go shorter, which again I can't this is what we saw last night
17:04It's like boy
17:04This looks like a really big mismatch all the way through but we've seen that before in series have been able to change
17:09Injuries happen momentum happens great players are able to take over games and also if this wasn't a normal environment
17:16This wasn't we both played on Monday now, we're gonna meet up on a Wednesday and play again
17:19We talked about this ad nauseam for the past week
17:22How are these two teams going to play because something could be a miss and also I pointed out what happens if today we woke?
17:27Up with the Dallas Mavericks had won an easy victory over the Celtics. We've all series is over at this point
17:32They can't go back like no the changes from game one the game two are going to be drastic now
17:37If we do see a Boston Celtics blowout in game number two, then you'll probably saying okay
17:40This is probably ending in five you get split back in Dallas you come back to Boston
17:44That's the way it's going to be but also let me get this off my chest as well
17:48Yesterday we played a game on a Thursday, right?
17:50I'm not saying you got to play every day or every other day because we know how the ratings work in the NBA and also
17:55The fact that this game is on Sunday
17:57There's no other NBA games on during the day, but hear me out on this now
18:01I understand what the NBA is doing because the NBA ratings across the board better down
18:06Did you see the media numbers that they just chalked up from three different networks?
18:10They're gonna pay them
18:11So I'm almost not gonna have to take a backseat when I say make me commissioner for ratings because it's a parent Ben
18:16Ratings don't matter the price of the brick goes up anyway
18:19So quite frankly if they wanted to put the Celtics in the Mavericks back at 9 o'clock or a 930 tip
18:24I can't even fight it now because apparently ratings don't matter in the equate to dollar figures for the league do whatever they want
18:30I thought I was on a crusade for the right direction go like look ratings are down
18:33Let me make some of these changes so we can get unbelievable ratings, but ratings don't matter apparently anymore
18:38So go ahead NBA stack these at midnight on Sunday night who cares if nobody watches doesn't matter still get paid anyway
18:45You would expect the game to tip on a Sunday standalone kind of market to be a little bit earlier
18:51It's 8 p.m. Eastern Time
18:53Scheduled for inside TD Garden in game number two one final point before we flip it over to the Dan Hurley
18:59Conversation Jason Tatum was an odds-on favorite to win the NBA Finals MVP now
19:04It's plus 105 Jalen Brown creeping his way back up the board
19:09Listen, neither were all that sensational in an easy Boston victory in game one
19:14I think you're getting a plus money price now on
19:17Jason Tatum if you really wanted to hand out an NBA Finals MVP after only one game
19:22It would go to Kristoff's porzingis at this moment
19:25Yeah, no, I'd say well Chris that's for Zingas has been really good in those 20 minutes what happens now Bennett he plays 25 30
19:3235 minutes in the starting lineup. Good luck on that
19:35That was the most eye-opening thing was and it wasn't as if he had to get his legs under him
19:39He was the best player on the court the minute he got out there bed, which is I didn't expect that at all
19:43We were expecting what 15 minutes seven points, maybe hit a three ease them back in and he was awesome
19:50Seven to one now the price on KP to win the NBA Finals MVP
19:55fourth
19:56Shortest number Luka don't you just price remains pretty much what the Mavericks number is to win the NBA
20:01Championship two to one before game number one plus 188 was the Mavericks series outright price before last night's opening game
20:09Plus 330 now for Dallas as an underdog plus 350 for don't itch to win the NBA Finals MVP
20:16Brian
20:18Fonseca's NBA Finals focus following game number one night number one of the
20:242024 NBA Finals and a Boston blowout inside TD Garden Fonseca joins us here
20:30Live on this Friday for the next two segments to look back at game number one and if at all it has changed his
20:37Expectations for the remainder of this series Brian Fonseca is here on this Friday
20:43Fonseca glad to have you here on this Friday on the early line
20:47Absolutely. Anytime you guys know it
20:50We are very very glad to dive into game number one with you. So the Celtics win by 18
20:5710789 Boston covering easily as a six and a half point favorite at home inside TD Garden
21:03Total was 217 and a hook and it stays well under so nearly a 20-point victory
21:10Fonseca for the Seas last night. What was the main reason Boston was so dominant in game number one?
21:17They played like it was game one of the NBA Finals and Dallas
21:21I don't know what Dallas was doing that was look like they were caught off guard by Boston's effort
21:26Like hey, why are you guys running so hard for these offensive rebounds and crashing glass this early in the first quarter?
21:32Like what is this Chris S for Cengiz comes into the game and it's like why are you blocking shots, bro?
21:36Like relax. We're just here to play basketball and then it took them a while and they finally they finally get into the game in
21:43The third quarter and have a good third quarter, but obviously wasn't enough
21:47They did cut the lead at one point to think it was eight points
21:50Probably the closest it was or something around there and then Boston put it on them one more time before ending it
21:56Um, I hated hated Dallas's game plan. I don't know why
22:00They were even as they fell behind by a lot very early
22:04So insistent on hey, we're gonna shoot a lot of tubes we're gonna drive through the lane
22:10We're gonna try to get things at the rim and we're gonna put up mid-range jumpers and didn't make a lot of sense
22:16They had a three-point rate of thirty two point one
22:18This is a team that had a forty four percent three-point rate during the regular season three point attempt rate during the regular season
22:24And this was second only to the Boston Celtics
22:27These are the top two teams and three point attempt rate from the regular season
22:30Boston has dropped for 44 to about 41 in the playoffs before last night now
22:35They're just above 40 which is still high. But last night they were at thirty two point one
22:40You're not gonna beat a team in the Celtics who's playing the math the way they are with three-point shooting
22:45We're there three-point rate was above 50% last night. You're not gonna beat a team like that. Just shooting tubes
22:50You're just not so it didn't make a lot of sense to me and then willingly switching small guys on the Kristoff Porzingis
22:55That was stupid. Um that being said I think they have adjustments
23:00so
23:02We looked at that game one here coming into and the question marks were going to be from me
23:05Which team was going to show up now granted?
23:07They're both really good
23:08But having off over a week you're getting ready for the finals
23:11Sometimes you get a little bit of a rust Boston 37 points in the first quarter Dallas only only 20
23:16It was apparent that Boston was ready to play and Dallas wasn't and also Brian taking a look at the game
23:21Typically, it's like you're going to lean on your superstars Tatum 16 points Brown only 22 points and still easily won
23:27So looking at that game between the two superstars for Boston, the expectations are they'll probably get better even with that easy victory
23:35So after game number one ends, how do we feel about the Boston Celtics moving forward what we can anticipate from Tatum and Brown?
23:43They're one and two in game twos in the playoffs and Dallas hasn't lost the game to yet in playoffs
23:49Dallas is also five and two in game twos with Luka Donchik Luka Donchik averages about
23:5434 8 and 7 or 34 9 and 8 whatever it is. One of those two in game twos
24:00So that's that's really it right? It's that's the the hurdle that Boston has it's like you have to be able to keep your foot
24:07on somebody's throat
24:09somebody who's better than the heat without Jimmy Butler and Terry Rozier the
24:13Pacers without Tyrese Halliburton and the Cavs without Donovan Mitchell and Jared Allen and later carousel Bert
24:19No big deal, but I think that that's really what it is is they have these letdown spots on
24:25Third quarter was kind of a letdown spot for them last night
24:29I do think that Dallas is going to make some adjustments and the main thing for me is if they if they bomb away more
24:36From three they can potentially level this out
24:38Boston was great from three early on it kind of calmed as the game went a little bit and then they were able to have
24:44Enough to finish there. So, you know, there's a world where they just are red hot from three again
24:48but I think there are some things as I alluded to already that Dallas can do in game two a
24:5515 shot
24:56Distinction from three-point range between the two Dallas just seven of 27 from three last night Boston shot at 42 times
25:04Only made 16 when all was said and done
25:07But you can tell the offensive efficiency that the Boston Celtics
25:11Operate at all five starters making multiple threes and that includes their sixth man last night in Chris Dobbs
25:18Porzingis who had 20 points in his first basketball game in nearly a month and a half since game number four of the
25:26Opening round series against the Miami Heat that was back on April
25:3029th KP back in the rotation last night Fonseca. What does it mean for the C's to have Porzingis back?
25:37Yeah, he looked awesome
25:38Um, I'm somebody who was like man, we have to see because calf injuries are tricky
25:42we've seen Kevin Durant return from a calf injury and then tears Achilles after
25:4711 12 minutes of playing basketball
25:49Um, and that was around the same amount of time that Chris asked for Ziggas miss Chris asked for Zing is set
25:55I believe five more days. So yeah, we'll have to see him make it through the series healthy
25:59But he looked excellent last night and the thing
26:02About him was his plays were loud his plays on offense were loud
26:06His plays on offense were loud. There were threes from 27 29 30 feet. Um, he was
26:12getting and ones he was
26:14Uh taking advantage over smaller guys like Derrick Jones jr
26:17For example, which again?
26:18I don't know why Dallas willingly gave him those switches
26:21But that was what it was and then on the defensive end there were loud block shots of rim protection in general
26:27I think if you have a ticket for him
26:30Which was a hefty one if you have a ticket for him to get finals MVP, you're looking pretty good right now
26:35The only thing is is he going to continue to do this?
26:38Is he going to continue to do this with they said there was going to be no minutes restriction?
26:42Of course there was because look at the game. He also came off the bench
26:45I think for now just keep him there keep him in the six-man role because it actually strengthens your depth like boston
26:52Is a very good team. They're not an especially deep one
26:56They look deeper when chris asks for zingas is coming off the benches
26:59There's six men next to uh, sam hauser and payton pritchard as opposed to it
27:02Just being al horford or you know, somebody else on their lineup
27:06So I like the idea of keeping them coming off the bench
27:09At least for now and if dallas wins game two, you could sort of readjust and see
27:13Moving forward, but if they keep them on the bench and they win game two go up to oh then
27:18Yeah
27:18I have no reason to see that chris aspersinger should be even returning to the starting lineup if you still want to manage his minutes
27:25I agree. I think it's a great take on that because if it isn't broken don't fix it
27:29He was wonderful coming off the bench
27:31it almost would get you a little bit alarmed if he came off the bench played 20 minutes and went oh of seven from
27:35Three point range because he's used to being in the starting lineup
27:37We'll see what happens in game two game three and we'll see obviously if we have an extended series
27:41But if we do look at the superstars for the dallas mavericks here, brian
27:44Kyrie, irving 6 of 19 from the floor 12 points and minus 19 not good enough
27:48We knew we were going to get a high usage rate out of luca donchage playing 38 minutes 12 of 26 from the floor
27:5310 rebounds but only one assist accounting for 30 points here
27:57What are the expectations moving forward from those two and do we need giant performances just to be competitive here
28:03Apparently against the boston celtics out of those guys
28:06I feel like you need one of those two to have a giant performance. Kyrie
28:09Irving absolutely has to be better. Um, luca donchage as well
28:12I thought his 30 points were kind of just like they were just 30 points
28:15But you didn't really feel them like that until you know somewhat third quarter
28:18But for the most part it wasn't an appreciably awesome luca donchage game
28:23even though aesthetically people are going to look at hey, you got 30 points you got 10 rebounds, but
28:27No, it didn't look like that didn't feel like that. Kyrie irving though. He just looked frazzled from the beginning
28:33It was weird. I think he's too nice
28:35Like I don't know if it's you know, the ayahuasca or whatever rumored like but now he's just like he's turned over a new leaf
28:41He's a great guy
28:42all of a sudden
28:43And he's you know
28:45God bless you and praying for everybody and shaking everybody's hands and whatever and he actually gave credit to a ref for calling him
28:52For like a travel or whatever it was last night and i'm like bro, like it's the finals. You got to be a killer man
28:57Especially in this arena where they're booing you every time you get the ball
29:00Derek white and drew holiday guarding you like that's obviously going to be tough
29:03And this is why I didn't think he was going to have an amazing scoring series
29:06but I do think he could still have amazing scoring moments, but
29:10Man, he I I would like for him to be
29:13More not aggressive, uh from that from like just a shot standpoint because he had 19
29:19But I don't know. I just want to see him like really come at people's throats a little bit more
29:24I feel like he's being a little too nice
29:27He needs more hostility. He said the boston crowd wasn't all that bad last night. What's happening to the kyrie?
29:33We know more on the nba finals next
29:37The celtics victorious on the opening night of the 2024 nba finals winning
29:42107 89 covering as a six and a half point favorite as brian fonseca joins us for a second consecutive segment
29:49Fonseca, I think it's pretty easy to say the celtics were a six and a half point home favorite
29:54They have played 50 games in being down this year
29:57They have won 44 of those 50 home games inside td gordon
30:02So boston winning game one even of the nba finals at home is not overly shocking or surprising
30:09But in the manner of which they did winning by nearly 20 107 89
30:14Maybe that has altered some viewpoint of how the rest of this nba championship series plays out
30:21Did the 18 point win for the seas change how you think the rest of the nba finals goes
30:28no, because I
30:30Came in with the mindset that what dallas needs to do if they want to prolong this series is they have to split in boston
30:37And at least split in dallas. I one of the bets I like going into this series was two two after four
30:44Because I could see dallas as they have been they've been winning game twos on the road. They've done it
30:50Uh in every series so far in the playoffs and boston has obviously had a couple letdown spots against much
30:56inferior teams based on health, but
31:00Dallas has been able to do this already and I felt like all right
31:03Dallas can get the split against boston who not a great home playoff team over the last several years
31:08Uh, but very very good on the road and dallas isn't like amazing at home in the playoffs
31:13So it just felt logical to me that you can get a two-two split
31:17I felt like this was a six-game series at minimum
31:20Um, because I mean I feel like luka tantic would win more than one game in this playoff series
31:27Um, so this is shaping up to me. I mean, I didn't think dallas would come out like that in game one
31:32Because you know that I don't know what their game plan was again
31:35Like it just didn't make a lot of sense to me just from a schematic standpoint
31:39but
31:40Just i'm not i'm not like more worried about. Hey, this could be a sweep now after watching game one
31:47We've all been watching basketball long enough to know the weirdest game in the series is often game one like weird
31:53weird things just happen in game one and then we'll see some adjustments and then adjustments to the
31:57Adjustments and then counters to those counters and things of that nature. So to me, this is business as usual almost
32:03Taking a look at some of these price points brian in this series now and you're right about this like you don't get three wins
32:08For a blowout victory in game number one
32:09It still only counts as one win you go into game number two and dallas can even that up before going back to dallas
32:15But the dallas the boston celtics a minus two and a half spread number now at a plus 122 price
32:20So expecting a much more quicker series here apparently and boston which came in yesterday around that minus 220 marker
32:26Now since it's a minus 420 marker the rest of the way
32:29So if we're looking at some of those odds and statistics there moving forward
32:32Does it entice you a little bit more to take dallas or is it just like that public opinion of wow?
32:36I can't take dallas now based on what I just saw in game number one
32:39We're probably going to get that same expectation throughout the rest of the series
32:44Yeah, for me personally, I I don't feel the need to do anything because I have a mavericks 23-1 future
32:50Um, and boston just won game one. So if I wanted to hedge i'm probably like why would I do that now?
32:56Like just wait after they potentially lose game two
33:00Um the it the line might not even adjust that much
33:03It would probably have to be after game four if it's two two like I want like that's probably if I want to get back
33:08In on boston, that's probably the spot I want but then i'd look at it and be like hey, um
33:13Now it's the best of three. Do I do I want to take do I want to take boston to win two of these?
33:18I don't know
33:19Because again out of respect for dallas and what what they've accomplished. Um, so to me
33:25I I think if I weren't in the in the in the 23-1 club so to speak with my mavs future
33:32Then yeah
33:32I'd probably look at this and be like oh that plus two and a half is interesting
33:36Because I think now there could be an overreaction to the game one that we just saw
33:41And also there there is a world where boston
33:44Actually, they did win game two last series. It was against the pacers and andrew nemhardt and basically but
33:50They won game two last series. There's a world where it's like, all right
33:53Maybe boston could actually like end this in five
33:56I don't think any of us think that they're going to suddenly sweep dallas because we probably have more respect for them and for luka
34:01Donchik in particular, but a lot of people were looking at celtics in five celtics in six
34:08And I think those people are in pretty good position if you're like me and you're like hey
34:11dallas could put could win this series if they push this to a seventh game because
34:16I mean
34:17Luka donchik on the road in the game seven is terrifying especially in boston where we've seen them drop a home game seven recently
34:24Yeah, I think I think everyone should sort of stay pat because it was just game one
34:31Yeah, I still think the best bets right now with where the series odds have shifted following boston's dominance in game one
34:38Is looking at dallas covering two and a half games
34:41That means if it gets to six the mavericks have already cashed that ticket or just the over under of total games
34:47Now standing at five and a half. It was five and a half, but the over had more juice now
34:51It's just minus 130. Let's look at the nba finals mvp odds
34:56You mentioned that if you had a large ticket on christoph's porzingis before the opening night
35:01You're feeling good right now kp fourth shortest number at seven to one
35:06It's pretty clear from the odds makers that if dallas wins the nba championship
35:10Luka donchik is going to win the nba finals mvp the mavericks priced to win the series outright plus 330
35:16Luka's individual number plus 350. So we'll save that conversation about donchik for another time if the boston celtics
35:24End up winning championship number 18 in organization history who would get your bet to win nba finals mvp
35:33I still think the odds on tatum are too
35:36Like short like I feel like jaylen brown is kind of the best value here because I don't know what christoph
35:41Porzingis like is he going to be in this six-man role going forward if so
35:46I don't think we could reasonably expect him to do what he did last night in every single game
35:49he kind of would need to even though I think he's a walking matchup problem for the mavs and
35:54They're gonna have to really figure something out. But at some point you think he's going to miss shots
36:00and
36:01A lot of this is predicated on making loud plays on both ends of the floor
36:04Which he did which jaylen brown also did and I thought jaylen brown was great last night
36:08And I think he's probably the value play here
36:10I don't know if he's going to go eastern conference finals mvp and then you know finals mvp
36:17But I do think that at plus 280 it was plus 300 last night
36:22On the market. I think jaylen brown is a nice value play here
36:26it's most likely like it would more than likely be tatum than anyone else, but
36:30Given the start that jaylen brown's had and how sustainable I think that could be
36:35He's probably where I look if I'd wanted some value you're getting almost three to one odds there
36:39Jaylen brown boston's leading scorer last night finishing with 22
36:44Albeit still under his points prop of 23 and a half brian fonseca as always. We appreciate the time
36:51Thank you for being here on the early line and have a great weekend