• 11 months ago
Transcript
00:00 (upbeat music)
00:03 - I took a long shot on OBJ to lead this game
00:06 in receiving yards.
00:07 That was at 22 to one.
00:08 I don't think it's gonna happen, right?
00:10 But I thought that the value was there
00:12 because the reality is for me,
00:13 I think Travis Kelsey is gonna get minimized
00:16 by the secondary and the great linebacking core
00:19 of the Baltimore Ravens.
00:20 And I just, I don't know, maybe 50, 60 yards
00:24 leads this game in receiving.
00:25 I don't see a ton of like outstanding big receiving threats.
00:29 Rashid Rice would probably be the next closest guy.
00:31 And so maybe OBJ lands up with one or two catches
00:35 in totals around 50 yards and that could get you there.
00:37 So I don't think that's gonna win.
00:39 I would not be banking on that winning.
00:41 That's why it's 22 to one.
00:43 But as it relates to Lamar and this passing attack,
00:46 look, I think that Mark Andrews,
00:47 there's massive question marks as we know.
00:50 And so when there's massive question marks,
00:51 I decided to go maybe untraditional route,
00:55 but what a lot of the sharper betters like to focus on.
00:58 And that is you fade that guy,
01:00 you fade the guy in his first game back.
01:02 So we took some under three and a half receptions.
01:04 We took some under for his receiving yards,
01:07 but then in case he is utilized a lot more in the red zone
01:12 and does end up somehow getting to four catches,
01:14 I bet him to score a touchdown.
01:16 And that obviously offsets some of the losses
01:19 that I might have if he does end up with a four plus catches,
01:22 hopefully one of those would end up being for a touchdown.
01:25 And that's like, I wanna say like plus 230, plus 240,
01:27 something along those lines.
01:29 So those, I did bet three props on Mark Andrews,
01:32 got a little bit heavy involvement in him.
01:34 They're not for large amounts,
01:36 but that's one thing that I'm looking at today.
01:38 (upbeat music)
01:41 (bells chiming)

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