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00:00 (upbeat music)
00:02 - The low total, one Donnie,
00:04 that I know you've been really interested in,
00:06 trying to get a read on,
00:08 do you trust Zach Wilson enough
00:10 to get you over this number?
00:11 So I'm gonna go to you first here.
00:13 - Yeah.
00:13 - Where have you landed on that?
00:14 Although to be honest, at the open,
00:16 it sounds like you maybe haven't decided yet
00:17 where you land on this total
00:19 between the Chiefs and the Jets.
00:20 - Look, here's where I decided.
00:21 If they go over 16 and a half,
00:23 I'm tweeting out like, "I knew they would do that."
00:25 (laughing)
00:25 And when they don't, I'm gonna say,
00:26 "I didn't actually bet the game."
00:27 - Seriously.
00:28 - 'Cause I'm not going to bet it, exactly.
00:29 - And we start with Zach Wilson.
00:30 His prop bet, and can we just be honest,
00:32 173 and a half in a Kansas City Chiefs game,
00:35 which we're all expecting,
00:35 or should I say most people expecting,
00:37 Kansas City probably gonna go bell to bell tonight,
00:39 which means you have to throw the football.
00:41 But here's the issue,
00:42 133.7 yards per game the Jets are passing for.
00:47 - That's terrible.
00:48 - Which is well below the number we're looking at at 173.
00:50 But as the game dictates,
00:51 and I wanna start with you here, Joe,
00:53 where is the value coming in on Zach Wilson?
00:55 Because for me, I look at that number,
00:56 it says he has to hit that.
00:58 Just by game flow,
00:59 he should throw the ball 40 plus times tonight.
01:02 If you're, put it this way,
01:03 if the Jets are thinking about going into this game,
01:04 let's just run the football with Brees Hall
01:06 and also Dalvin Cook, and we'll win, no shot.
01:08 - No, no shot.
01:09 I mean, absolutely none,
01:11 and somebody that was on the Zach Wilson total last week,
01:13 that was a killer.
01:15 But he throws for 157 yards in the absolute rain, right?
01:18 So you would have to think that potentially,
01:20 he did, he threw for 157
01:23 in terms of the second half of that ballgame,
01:25 pull it out in terms of the final drive.
01:27 Every throw was short to intermediate.
01:29 He didn't get the ball to Garrett Wilson
01:31 in the second half against the Patriots.
01:33 He's gonna have to do it today.
01:35 There's two ways to look at it.
01:36 It's a contrast in styles.
01:37 Do you wanna get into a lower scoring game
01:40 and obviously sustain drives,
01:42 neutralize the Kansas City offense,
01:44 keep Pat Mahomes on the sidelines,
01:46 just the way they did last week
01:48 in terms of the New England game plan
01:50 against the New York Jets?
01:52 Do you utilize Dalvin Cook?
01:53 Do you utilize Brees Hall and say, you know what?
01:55 We'll wait 'til the fourth quarter
01:57 and we'll potentially try to open it up then and steal it.
02:00 Or to Donnie's point, do you open it up and say,
02:03 we'll throw caution to the wind and we'll see what happens.
02:06 And if we have 10 or 15 points in the end,
02:09 maybe we move on for Zach Wilson
02:12 because they're gonna have to score at least 17 to 20
02:15 to pull this ballgame out and cover it.
02:17 I just don't see it happening.
02:19 I will say, I do like the over today though at 42 and a half.
02:23 (upbeat music)
02:25 (bells chiming)